Wednesday, October 19, 2011

Who Will Be in the 4 NCAA Super-Conferences? The West

The SEC, PAC and Big 10 will clearly be the cores of 3 of the 4 upcoming NCAA Super-conferences. The Big East, ACC and Big 12 will make up the 4th.

For definitional purposes, let's assume the 4 Super-conferences each will have 16 teams and two divisions. There will be a playoff at the end of the year between the two division title holders. Then, the 4 Super-conference winners will have National Semi Finals games, and then there will be a National Final and (possibly) a Runner Up game (4 games). The net result will be that the nation's top 64 teams are involved in a playoff system that, most importantly of course, will make more money for the Universities then the current BCS system.

Plus, it will be hard to argue that the winner in this approach is not the national champion.

Let's do the easiest first and that is the West Super-conference, where the PAC -12 as the core:

There are three ways to split the division.
· North/South
· East/West
· Traditional Rivals in Opposite Divisions

Option 1: North/South
  • West Division A
  • California
  • Oregon
  • Oregon State
  • Stanford
  • Washington
  • Washington State
  • Colorado
  • Utah

West Division B
  • UCLA
  • USC
  • Texas
  • Oklahoma
  • Texas Tech
  • Oklahoma State
  • Arizona
  • Arizona State

Option 2: East/West
  • West Division A
  • California
  • Oregon
  • Oregon State
  • Stanford
  • Washington
  • Washington State
  • UCLA
  • USC

West Division B
  • Texas (From Big 12)
  • Oklahoma (From Big 12)
  • Texas Tech (From Big 12)
  • Oklahoma State (From Big 12)
  • Arizona
  • Arizona State
  • Colorado
  • Utah

Option 3: Traditional Rivals in Opposite Divisions
  • West Division A
  • USC
  • Oklahoma
  • Texas Tech
  • Arizona
  • Washington
  • Oregon
  • Stanford
  • Colorado

West Division B
  • UCLA
  • Texas
  • Oklahoma State
  • Arizona State
  • Washington State
  • Oregon State
  • California
  • Utah

While the North/South and East/West variations tend to make scheduling easier, given the big money related to each game, the incremental cost of travel on a commercial airline is not that much. So, the West Super-conference is better off splitting along the lines that will make the most money, and this is to split in a way that leads to a possible traditional rivalry ending up in the Super-conference title game.

However, notwithstanding the fact that teams like USC and UCLA would not be in the same division of the West Super-conference, they would still play their traditional rivalry once per year, and it would count in their overall record for their division. In theory, then, one team could beat the other in the regular season game, and both could make the championship game. This would make for excitement, high ratings and profits.

Given the need to have 16 teams, it looks like Boise State is the big loser. However, it is possible that either Texas Tech or Oklahoma State will go elsewhere, in which case Boise State could squeeze in.

Get the latest NCAA news and predictions, explode college teams and players on Sportadore.com

By James D. Silver

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